Forecasting

The preventative approach to desert locust management will focus on predicting the likelihood of cross-border invasions and in-country spread as determined through weather and ecological conditions that could favour breeding, development and migration of the pest. Appropriate and timely data will be collected on key parameters such as rainfall, temperature, humidity, soils, wind and vegetation. The data will be processed and communicated routinely for use in desert locust early warning and forecasting systems to support short-term responses and long-term adaptation planning by the LCU, national partners, regional and international bodies.

The long-term adaptation planning will assist in the identification and mapping of desert locust breeding habitats and potential outbreak areas in the project implementing counties. With properly synthesized early warning information, the country will activate the necessary procedures to acquire appropriate desert locust management and control materials including biopesticides, synthetic insecticides, spraying equipment, PPEs and strategic personnel.